
Every high school student learns about the annual flooding of the Nile. Every summer the thing swelled up and covered the land. When it shrank back to size, farmers found a fresh layer of fertile earth on their fields. Yay! Well, the same thing happens in the Indus River of Pakistan. But… boooo!
It’s the monsoon that brings this annual flooding. Well, backing up a bit, it’s actually the way the Earth tilts its northern hemisphere toward the Sun in the summer. The land heats up. And heats up. And heats up more. By June, much of Asia is baking.
The hot ground heats the air. Hot air… rises! What happens down by the ground when that air rises? The air next door is sucked in.
In summer, in India and Pakistan, that air next door is soggy, drenching, saturated Indian Ocean air. The hot land pulls in this sodden air in off the ocean from June to September. Then the earth cools off and the energy goes out of the system. Things dry out. It’s planting time.
So the Indus, which is Pakistan’s major river, floods every year. Everybody gets a little damp and inconvenienced. Just like in Bangladesh. And Mumbai. That’s life in monsoonland. The reason so many people live in flood plains is that the fertility is worth the hassle.
What’s different this year is that it’s Pakistan’s year to get hammered with extra rain. In 2005 it was Mumbai’s turn. That year the city got a meter of rain in 24 hours. Every year seems to be Bangladesh’s turn.
So anyway, the monsoon is dumping on Pakistan this year. Farmers whose land hasn’t flooded in 80 years are suddenly getting inundated. As always happens when monsoons dump on heavily populated areas, people are dying, starving, losing the shirts off their backs and the horses in their paddocks and the crops in their fields. It’s a totally muddy calamity.
For thousands of years, since the human animal began farming — like, invented farming — on the banks of the Indus, this has been happening. And in those thousands of years, many humans have died, starved, lost everything.
That’s how I pacify myself — I biologize. It helps me that if you look closely in some pictures, what you see is teenage boys grinning and fooling around in the flooded streets. When Nature opens a can of whupass, someone always suffers, and someone else always gets out of school for a week!
Is climate change a factor in this year’s flooding? Probably. Going back to that hot air that rises off Pakistan’s flood plain, sucking in the wet ocean air: Heat is the fuel that drives the seasonal cycles. The more heat you put into that system, the stronger the engine will be. Our CO2-enriched atmosphere holds more heat these days, which keeps the land warmer all year around.
But meteorologists are still debating the origin of the raindrops that added up to this particular flood. Some say the monsoon went really far north; others say the jet stream went really far south.
And of course many say Allah is pissed. If he wasn’t before, I bet he is now.